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United Airlines Bullish On First Quarter From Lower Fuel Costs

Posted by Reuters  |  January 22,2015  |  09:01 AM
United Airlines terminal

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9:01 AM 01/22/15

By Jeffrey Dastin

(Reuters) – United Continental Holdings Inc provided a bullish outlook for the coming year on Thursday in part because of lower fuel costs, sending shares up even though its fourth-quarter profit fell short of expectations.

The Chicago-based carrier forecast a pre-tax margin between 5.0 and 7.0 percent for the first quarter, a departure from previous years when winter storms and flight cancellations have eaten into their income.

“That would be starting off the year on a very, very strong note,” said CRT Capital Group analyst Michael Derchin, adding that he could not recall when United made as much pre-tax profit in the first quarter.

The projections stemmed not only from seasonal capacity discipline but also from the plummeting cost of fuel, which typically amounts to a third or more of airlines’ total operating expenses.

United projected a fuel cost between $1.96 and $2.01 per gallon for the first quarter, including settled hedges, which would represent hundreds of millions of dollars in savings compared to its fourth-quarter price of $2.83.

“They’re going to start to see the full benefits of lower fuel,” Derchin said.

United said Thursday that settling losing fuel hedges cost the airline $225 million in the fourth quarter. This, along with costs from a voluntary buyout for flight attendants and other special items, dragged down its fourth-quarter profit to $28 million.

Excluding these costs, the airline earned $461 million last quarter, or $1.20 per diluted share, which still fell short of analysts’ average estimate of $1.22 per diluted share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. The Wall Street estimates excluded certain special items.

The airline also reported that its revenue was $9.3 billion last quarter, a 0.2 percent decrease year-over-year. It said it returned about $320 million to shareholders in 2014.

Company shares rose 3.16 percent to trade at $71.40 pre-market.

(Reporting by Jeffrey Dastin in New York; Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe and Chizu Nomiyama)

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